Tuesday, 5 August 2025

Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Business Activity Remains Strong in July Despite Slight Slowdown

 

RIYADH, Aug 5 — Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector remained firmly in growth territory in July, though momentum slightly cooled, according to the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) compiled by S&P Global for Riyad Bank.

The headline PMI eased to 56.3 in July, down from 57.2 in June, but remained well above the neutral 50-point threshold, indicating continued improvement in private sector operating conditions.

📊 Growth Aligns with Vision 2030 Goals

The steady expansion in non-oil activity aligns with Vision 2030, the Kingdom’s ambitious roadmap to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues. Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 3.9% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with the non-oil sector as a major growth engine, according to flash estimates by the General Authority for Statistics.

“Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy remained on a solid growth track in July, supported by higher output, new business, and continued job creation,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank.

📉 What’s Behind the Slight Slowdown?

While July's PMI reading signals healthy expansion, some softening in momentum was noted:

  • New order growth moderated, partly due to increased competition and more cautious client spending.

  • External demand weakened, with export orders falling for the first time in nine months.

  • Purchasing activity grew more slowly, and delivery times improved but were hampered by customs delays.

Despite these factors, firms continued hiring at a robust pace, with July marking another month of strong workforce expansion, following June’s 14-year peak in employment.

📦 Inventory and Input Price Trends

  • Inventory levels rose, especially among manufacturers and retailers, indicating confidence in future demand.

  • Input prices increased due to higher wage bills as firms raised salaries to retain skilled staff.

  • This led to a second straight month of selling price hikes, particularly in services, construction, and manufacturing.

🔮 Outlook: Solid But Watchful

Al-Ghaith noted that firms remain optimistic about future growth, citing:

  • Steady domestic demand

  • Strong project pipelines

  • Government-driven investments under Vision 2030

However, he cautioned that rising costs and global market uncertainty may temper expansion rates in the coming months.



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